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[IP] more on Spectrum Gold Rush





Begin forwarded message:

From: vijay gill <vgill@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: August 31, 2006 11:50:17 AM EDT
To: dave@xxxxxxxxxx
Cc: ip@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: Re: [IP] more on Spectrum Gold Rush



This seems an appropriate time to bring up the Moore's law (observation) post again. Moore's Observation when applied as a blanket statement is naive at best and actively harmful at worst.

I don't understand why this is so hard to get across.

As an addendum to what Jim posted below, see this earlier message on IP a little while ago on basically the same subject, also addressing the backbone "infinite fiber capacity" myth.

http://lists.elistx.com/archives/interesting-people/200505/msg00025.html

/vijay

David Farber wrote:
Begin forwarded message:
From: Jim Innes <innesj@xxxxxxxxxx>


From what my clients (primarily the "Big Four" wireless carriers) and I see for the foreseeable future, meeting these requirements will still involve many, many thousands of cell sites at $150-600k capex each, with expensive field maintenance operations infrastructures, monthly recurring costs for backhaul to large hardened switch sites and antenna site rentals, and radio base stations with backup power and HVAC, high performance antennas, and
thick, heavy low loss RF transmission lines to make it all play.
IMHO these last few items alone would seem to be highly resistant to any
Moore's Law effects on their costs of manufacturing, deployment, and
operations.


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