[IP] more on "Strong" AI to be here within 25 years
Begin forwarded message:
From: Tom Fairlie <tfairlie@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: July 15, 2006 12:00:22 AM EDT
To: dave@xxxxxxxxxx
Cc: mac@xxxxxxxxxxxx, pollack@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, TClaburn@xxxxxxx
Subject: Re: [IP] more on "Strong" AI to be here within 25 years
Dave,
Isn't there some sort of monumental irony in this prediction?
Computer Science, the only branch of science that I'm aware
of that, in terms of is practical application, fails to build
significantly
upon its past accomplishments, is now re-predicting that the AI
prediction from 20 years ago will now instead occur approximately
25 years in our future. All I can say is: Wow!
Is it possible to short-sell AI stocks with 300-month put contracts?
The movie AI might be more plausible.
Although I enjoy hearing Kurzweil, I think I'd rather have a beer
with Douglas Lenat right now instead.
Tom Fairlie
----- Original Message -----
From: "David Farber" <dave@xxxxxxxxxx>
To: <ip@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Friday, July 14, 2006 5:52 PM
Subject: [IP] more on "Strong" AI to be here within 25 years
Begin forwarded message:
From: TClaburn@xxxxxxx
Date: July 14, 2006 6:39:04 PM EDT
To: dave@xxxxxxxxxx
Cc: pollack@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: Re: [IP] more on "Strong" AI to be here within 25 years
Even if one accepts Kurzweil's predictions, the availability of
brilliant
artificial intelligence says nothing about whether humans will have
the wisdom
of avail themselves of such knowledge.
Human faults will remain undiminished. In 25 years, we will still be
making the
same mistakes.
Thomas Claburn, Editor-at-Large
InformationWeek, CMP Media, Inc.
600 Harrison St., 6th Floor
San Francisco, CA 94107
tclaburn@xxxxxxx
415.947.6820
http://www.informationweek.com
http://www.thomasclaburn.com
David Farber
<dave@xxxxxxxxxx>
To
07/14/2006 03:22 PM ip@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx
cc
Please respond
to Subject
dave@xxxxxxxxxx [IP] more on "Strong" AI
to be here
within 25 years
Begin forwarded message:
From: Jordan Pollack <pollack@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: July 14, 2006 4:28:13 PM EDT
To: dave@xxxxxxxxxx
Subject: Re: [IP] "Strong" AI to be here within 25 years
I'm sorry, but baloney is still baloney, because Moore's law doesn't
increase the quality and complexity of our software. We'd see
something coming on supercomputers or grids. Alternative views about
the next 50 years are in the current issue of IEEE Intelligent Systems,
*http://tinyurl.com/hul5g
*IEEE unfortunately charges a fee, but my paper "Mindless
Intellligence" is available free at http://ectomental.com
Jordan
From: Mike Cheponis <mac@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: July 13, 2006 11:01:19 AM PDT
Subject: "Strong" AI to be here within 25 years
"The advent of strong AI (exceeding human intelligence) is the
most important transformation this century will see, and it will
happen within 25 years, says Ray Kurzweil, who will present this
paper at The Dartmouth Artificial Intelligence Conference: The
next 50 years (AI@50) on July 14, 2006."
Much more at: <http://www.kurzweilai.net/meme/frame.html?main=/
articles/art0683.html>
Weblog at: <http://weblog.warpspeed.com>
--
Professor Jordan B. Pollack Dynamic & Evolution Machine Org
Computer Science Department FaxPhone/Lab: 781-736-2713/3366
MS018, Brandeis University http://www.demo.cs.brandeis.edu
Waltham Massachusetts 02454 e-mail: pollack-at-brandeis.edu
Multiplayer Education Games FOR FREE! http://www.beeweb.org
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