[IP] more on "Strong" AI to be here within 25 years
Begin forwarded message:
From: Frode Hegland <frode@xxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: July 15, 2006 5:13:53 AM EDT
To: dave@xxxxxxxxxx
Cc: Douglas Engelbart <dengelbart@xxxxxxxxx>
Subject: Re: [IP] "Strong" AI to be here within 25 years
Let's just be clear that AI (exceeding human intelligence) means:
Something smarter than us. For me this has already happened; there
are plenty of people out there much smarter than me.
I'd like more effort on how I can better work with these people.
AI is great and useful in specific areas. But why can't we also
invest more in what Doug Engelbart calls 'augmenting human
intelligence' as well?
When will someone say something like: "in the next 25 years we will
have a word processor with the capability to quickly and efficiently
work with the person writing."
Or how about this: "in the next 25 years we will have an email system
more advanced than we have today".
OK, that last one was a bit facetious, I am a little bitter that
email has not improved (user interface or capability wise) much in
the last 15-20 years or so. Seriously, the minds on IP have nothing
better to communicate through (technically) than Dave's
(fantastically well moderated) plain text email list!
Please, please, computer games and movie graphics are doing well on
the back of Moore's law. There is so much that can be done here. And
before I get the 'what are you doing then' question, we are (as many
here know) making a tiny little widget that let's you interact with
all the text on the web, fundamentally altering its structure (for
Firefox now, IE soon). And this is a self-funded, almost hobby
project. Imagine what MS or Apple or Adobe could do if they bothered.
So how about another read-through of Doug Engelbart's 'Augmenting
Human Intellect' paper, first published in 1962, a useful framework
for how to apply this Moore's law delivered power. - http://
tinyurl.com/krego -
Remember the Jetsons's? There is a great scene in one of them, where
Mr. Jetson goes to work and presses a button which is labeled
(something like) 'Do Work' and the computer does all the work. When
this happens (in 25 years or whenever), why would Mr. Jetson be
needed to press that button? Why would people be needed at all. At
that point, should we just trust AI to make important decisions for us?
Argh, at the risk of repeating myself; don't replace me, augment me!
On 14 Jul 2006, at 14:46, David Farber wrote:
"The advent of strong AI (exceeding human intelligence) is the most
important transformation this century will see, and it will happen
within 25 years, says Ray Kurzweil, who will present this paper at
The Dartmouth Artificial Intelligence Conference: The next 50 years
(AI@50) on July 14, 2006."
Frode Hegland
ceo
The Hyperwords Company
www.hyperwords.net
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