[IP] more on NYC to search transit riders' bags -- but ...
Begin forwarded message:
From: "James P.G. Sterbenz" <jpgs@xxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: July 22, 2005 6:21:25 PM EDT
To: dave@xxxxxxxxxx
Cc: "James P.G. Sterbenz" <jpgs@xxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: Re: [IP] more on NYC to search transit riders' bags -- but ...
At 18:01 7/22/2005, you wrote:
Begin forwarded message:
From: Brett Glass <brett@xxxxxxxxxx>
Date: July 22, 2005 5:03:56 PM EDT
To: dave@xxxxxxxxxx, Ip ip <ip@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: Re: [IP] more on NYC to search transit riders' bags --
but ...
Michael Bacarella, quoting an article:
"It turns out the best strategy is purely random (flip the coin).
Stark says this is a well-established concept in the mathematical
world, that as long as there is a detectable pattern, then it can
be exploited.
That is absurd, since it doesn't match the threat model. Random
searches are a reasonable response (deterrent) to criminals that
are unwilling to get caught.
Jack Welch of GE demonstrated long ago that quality control based
even on random sampling produced unacceptable results. The Japanese
auto makers took this principle to heart and promptly ate their
American counterparts' lunch.
Random searches do *not* respond to the threat of terrorists that are
willing to get caught or die in their quest. All it does is
(with the probability of the fraction searched) possibly delay
the attack, until a successor makes it through the holes in the
net. Yet another case of policy not responding to the real threat.
I wonder if they really don't know better, or if it is a knowing
attempt to placate the public when there are few good answers.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
James P.G. Sterbenz http://jpgs.sterbenz.org jpgs@xxxxxxxxxxxx
jpgs@xxxxxxxxxxx jpgs@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx jpgs@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx
U. Kansas EECS/ITTC Lancaster University UK jpgsterbenz@xxxxxxx
+1 508 944 3067 +41 79 733 83 25 jpgs@{acm|ieee|m.ieice}.org
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