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[IP] Axis of failure





Begin forwarded message:

From: Brian Randell <Brian.Randell@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: November 3, 2004 6:10:55 AM EST
To: dave@xxxxxxxxxx
Subject: Axis of failure

Dave:

From today's (UK) Guardian newspaper, for IP if you wish.

cheers

Brian

====

Axis of failure

The war in Iraq has realised Tony Blair's worst fear: the creation of another country where terrorists can easily find weapons of mass destruction

Richard Norton-Taylor
Wednesday November 3, 2004
The Guardian

Early last year, Tony Blair was warned by the joint intelligence committee that invading Iraq would increase the risk of a far greater threat than anything posed by Saddam Hussein: namely international terrorism, and al-Qaida in particular. The JIC also warned, according to the parliamentary intelligence and security committee, that "any collapse of the Iraqi regime would increase the risk of chemical and biological warfare technology ... finding their way into the hands of terrorists".

. . .

A new study spells out the huge dangers to international security of the Bush view of the world. Amitai Etzioni, an American who influenced New Labour's "third way" thinking on the domestic front, argues that Washington's emphasis on "rogue states" is thoroughly misconceived. "Failing states" are the problem, he says. Iraq seems in danger of rapidly falling into this category.

"Much of the attention that is paid to nuclear threats has been focused on the three members of the axis of evil: Iran, Iraq and North Korea. However, nuclear attacks in this day and age are much more likely to be the work of terrorists," says Etzioni in Pre-Empting Nuclear Terrorism in a New Global Order, which is published by the Foreign Policy Centre.

The reason, he argues, is that it is "more difficult to deter suicide bombers than even rogue states".

. . .

Full story at:

  http://www.guardian.co.uk/analysis/story/0,3604,1341937,00.html

(The London-based Foreign Policy Centre report referred to is at: http://fpc.org.uk/publications/132)

PS Heard on BBC Radio 4's well-regarded Today Programme this morning: "Though the vast majority of European citizens will be highly dismayed by the likely Bush re-election, European politicians will be rather relieved - Bush's policies are a great encouragement to continued European integration, and a Kerry election would have led to their receiving embarrassing requests for military help in Iraq" (paraphrased, from memory)

--
School of Computing Science, University of Newcastle, Newcastle upon Tyne,
NE1 7RU, UK
EMAIL = Brian.Randell@xxxxxxxxx   PHONE = +44 191 222 7923
FAX = +44 191 222 8232  URL = http://www.cs.ncl.ac.uk/~brian.randell/

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